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重大預期 | 至2020全球皮草供應量將大幅縮減約50%

作者:    來源:    發布時間:2019/1/17 16:56:39

 Fewer skins than expected for the two first auctions at Kopenhagen Fur

哥本哈根皮草前兩個拍賣會收皮量低于預期


For our first two auctions of 2019, farmers have sent in fewer skins than expected. There will be 3.3 million skins for January auction and around 5 million skins for March auction, which include 2 million unsold skins from 2018 auctions.

目前,哥本哈根皮草2019年前兩個拍賣會收到的皮張數量低于預期。一月拍賣會預計供應330萬張水貂皮,三月拍賣會預計供應500萬張水貂皮,這其中已經包含2018年拍賣季的200萬張未售出皮張。

 

Worldwide offering of mink in 2019 is expected to drop

2019全球水貂供應量縮減


We also see that Kopenhagen Fur will receive fewer mink skins during the whole of 2019 than first expected, as part of a worldwide tightening of supply. We currently expect less than 40 million mink skins to be offered worldwide this year. It’s possible that it could be even less.

作為全球縮減供應的一部分,哥本哈根皮草在整個2019年中收到的皮張將低于此前預期。目前,我們預期今年全球水貂皮供應量為不足4000萬張,甚至會更少。

 

Significantly reduced supply in 2020

2020年全球供應量將大幅減少

 

Data from farmers points to a similar trend. Already, we see that farmers have reduced the number of mink used for breeding. This indicates that the decline in world production of mink will continue into 2020.

目前,我們看到養殖戶已經減少種貂數量,全球水貂養殖量將在2020年迅速下降,來自養殖戶的各項數據均符合這一趨勢。


Based on the current information from the market, we expect that next season’s supply of mink skins will be reduced by another 35 percent, which means that only around 25 to 28 million mink skins will be offered Worldwide in 2020.

根據目前市場的情況,我們預計下個賣季水貂供應量還將繼續減少35%,這意味著在2020年,全球水貂供應量將約為2500-2800萬張。


As a result, far fewer skins will be in circulation in 2020.

因此,2020年的水貂皮供應量將大幅減少。

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